Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $497.09
- Potential payout
- $581.4
- Potential profit
- $84.3
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$2.91
Polymarket Trader
RichardZorg
0x146807e375de6b41f442ccf7b9be4c33f05d0745
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $610.85
- Realized PnL
- $355.61
- Win rate
- 61.1%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $3.9
- Potential payout
- $86.67
- Potential profit
- $82.77
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.2%
- Current value
- $5.97
- Potential payout
- $65.23
- Potential profit
- $59.26
- Multiplier
- 10.93x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $17.73
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $27.73
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- $2.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $39.47
- Potential profit
- $39.45
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $7.66
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $23.59
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$2.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $11.01
- Potential payout
- $28.6
- Potential profit
- $17.59
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $11
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $17.57
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $13.29
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $13.03
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $3.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $13.82
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $15.26
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $11.05
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $5.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $8.07
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $14.66
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $7.35
- Potential payout
- $17.3
- Potential profit
- $9.95
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $1.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.17
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.12
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.12
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.54
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.61
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.05
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $27.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 110-111°F on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 3?Yes 99.8% 45.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 4?Yes 35% 28.57 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes 86% 581.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 5?Yes 9.9% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 4?Yes 33% 45.45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 3?Yes 12% 38.46 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 3?Yes 39.8% 45.21 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?No 0.3% 800 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Yes 91.3% 46.55 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?Yes 14.7% 33.9 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?Yes 14.5% 68.97 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Yes 43.3% 50 shares