Polymarket Trader

berk2

0x146c2b7f5a8eac99bae9d98c5aee60a6fda3f5fd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $34.18
Realized PnL: -$5.81
Win rate: 11.1%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $198.1
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.1
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.82
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $181
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.18

Yes position

Will Stephen Curry win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.85
Potential profit: $178.85
User PnL: -$1.97

Yes position

Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.83
Potential profit: $172.83
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will Alejandro Grimaldo have the most assists during the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $14.06
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $103.59
Multiplier: 8.37x
User PnL: $12.06

Yes position

Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $116.77
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Will Dustin Pedroia be the next Red Sox manager?

Ends Feb 1, 2027

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $2.94
Potential payout: $110.9
Potential profit: $107.96
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will Brandon Hyde be the next Red Sox manager?

Ends Feb 1, 2027

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $4.1
Potential payout: $110.9
Potential profit: $106.8
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: $2.55

Yes position

Will Alex Rodriguez be the next Red Sox manager?

Ends Feb 1, 2027

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $3.16
Potential payout: $110.9
Potential profit: $107.74
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $1.61

Yes position

Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $109.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.93

Yes position

Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.77
Potential profit: $102.77
User PnL: -$0.92

Yes position

Will Dan Hooker fight Paddy Pimblett next?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Jacob Frey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.75
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.35
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Fed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeting?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.4
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.25
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Beyoncé be the top Spotify artist for 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.4
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.85
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will Russell McAlmond be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.24
Potential profit: $95.24
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $2.36
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $88.55
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: $1.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.27

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

X Money released by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will SpaceX file for an IPO by March 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the South Australian Labor Party win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by April 26, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Hellas Verona FC position

Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Atlético de Madrid qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Fiorentina win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Sporting CP score the most goals in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ty Simpson be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will EC Vitória win on 2026-04-22?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.94

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will SpaceX have less than 100 launches in 2026?

Yes 1.5% 66.67 shares
Will Elena Rybakina win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?

Yes 1.7% 25.85 shares
Will Shavkat Rakhmonov be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Yes 1.2% 17 shares
Will Anthony Hernandez be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Yes 1.1% 90.91 shares
Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Yes 1% 22.24 shares
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 1.7% 117.65 shares
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 5% 40 shares
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Ricky Simón next?

Yes 1.6% 62.5 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Yes 1.9% 52.64 shares
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?

Yes 1.1% 90.91 shares
Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026?

Yes 1.1% 90.91 shares
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Yes 1.1% 90.91 shares