No position
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $36.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $63.5
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$40.5
Polymarket Trader
rsr
0x1470734c491d49af4c0a31e78b0e9d67ee9e406a
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $40.89
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $1.4
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $38.6
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.24
- Potential payout
- $27.06
- Potential profit
- $26.82
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$1.57
No position
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $3.62
- Potential profit
- $0.87
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $1.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes 6.7% 27.06 shares
- Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes 9.5% 14.79 shares