Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $10.16
- Potential payout
- $119.51
- Potential profit
- $109.35
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$4.18
Polymarket Trader
0x1499...9274
0x1499b6ce4a9c409febdff1d083ee62600e899274
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $19.72
- Realized PnL
- -$10.18
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $9.56
- Potential payout
- $17.23
- Potential profit
- $7.67
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$10.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?No 2.1% 86.42 shares
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?No 13.9% 86.43 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 12% 119.5 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 11% 60.12 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 57% 17.23 shares
- AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?No 3.8% 325.84 shares