Polymarket Trader

nonetaken

0x14a7ca34181430c9b035db79bd3f7f3a44853208

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $21.6
Realized PnL: $47.55
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $550
Potential profit: $550
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$28.5

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$1

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $2.31
Potential payout: $23.08
Potential profit: $20.77
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.51
Potential profit: $15.51
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $11.76
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.33
Potential profit: $11.33
User PnL: -$8.75

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $7.95
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $2.05
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $2.95

No position

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $1.69
Potential payout: $9.68
Potential profit: $7.98
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$1.31

Yes position

Will SpaceX raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.16
Potential profit: $9.16
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$1.2

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $6.58
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $0.09
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Will SpaceX raise at least $120B in its IPO?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.92
Potential profit: $5.92
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.8
Potential profit: $5.8
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.84
Potential profit: $4.84
User PnL: -$1.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.58
Potential profit: $4.58
User PnL: -$1.97

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $3.07
Potential payout: $3.41
Potential profit: $0.34
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.03
Potential profit: $3.03
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.46

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.75

Yes position

Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.09

Yes position

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 82.5%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.33

No position

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.53

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 17% 11.76 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 64% 3.13 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 76% 1.32 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 15% 8 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 63% 1.59 shares
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 8% 12.5 shares
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Yes 88% 3.41 shares
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

No 13% 23.08 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

No 30% 3.33 shares
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?

No 39% 2.56 shares
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 68% 1.47 shares
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 66% 3.03 shares