No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $3.57K
- Potential payout
- $3.72K
- Potential profit
- $146.96
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $184.16
Polymarket Trader
87crosby
0x14c065b4cb78dffcb75ccd41605e9d6323f128f4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.01K
- Realized PnL
- $8.14K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$263
No position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- User PnL
- -$240
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $668.97
- Potential profit
- $668.97
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $434.07
- Potential payout
- $434.07
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $347.04
Yes position
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $70B and $80B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $401.83
- Potential profit
- $401.83
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Trump say "Border" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump say "Inflation" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.8
- Potential profit
- $38.8
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.57
- Potential profit
- $36.57
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $35.71
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump say "Trump" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $20.83
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump say "Election" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.52
- Potential profit
- $20.52
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump say "Eight War" or "Eighth War" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $17.24
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump say "Hottest" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.66
- Potential profit
- $16.66
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.59
- Potential profit
- $15.59
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump say "Tax on Tips" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.71
- Potential profit
- $14.71
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.9
- Potential profit
- $11.9
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
No position
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $995.34
No position
ICE shooter charged by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $585.38
No position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $572.27
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $523.55
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nvidia" during his AI speech on July 23?
Ends Jul 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.48
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $155.18
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.7
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.2
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.17
Yes position
Will anyone say "OpenAI" 5+ times during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?
Ends Aug 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.65
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $104.83
Yes position
Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.08
No position
Trump cabinet member out before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.24
No position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.96
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.16
No position
Will Trump say "Venezuela" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.45
No position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.61
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.91
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.18
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.53
No position
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.24
No position
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Cerebras' market cap be between $70B and $80B at market close on IPO day?Yes 32.7% 401.82 shares
- Will Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?Yes 27% 74.1 shares
- Will Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?Yes 27% 148.18 shares
- Will Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?Yes 19.1% 104.66 shares
- Will Cerebras' market cap be between $70B and $80B at market close on IPO day?Yes 12.4% 803.65 shares
- Will Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?Yes 5.9% 102.12 shares
- Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?Yes 36.6% 961.24 shares
- Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?Yes 44.2% 226.16 shares
- Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?Yes 56% 714.3 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 91.7% 780.13 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 91.1% 4,500.55 shares
- Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes 9% 2,727.27 shares