Daria.Zuskhov

Implied probability: 42.1%
Current value: $18.76
Potential payout: $44.61
Potential profit: $25.85
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $4.12

No position

Will "Little Brother" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $31.89
Potential payout: $44.29
Potential profit: $12.4
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Over $35M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $21.85
Potential payout: $37.71
Potential profit: $15.86
Multiplier: 1.73x
User PnL: -$3.32

Yes position

Will "Little Brother" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $8.4
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $21.6
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $15.45
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $14.55
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$0.75

No position

Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $12.6
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $2.4
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $2.4
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $12.6
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $11.4
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $3.6
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $5.03
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $9.98
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $9.15
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $5.85
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $3.45

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $4.85
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $5.15
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $330 end of March?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.45

Medvedev position

Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Medvedev (+1.5)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.95

California Baptist Lancers position

California Baptist Lancers vs. UCLA Bruins (W)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $3.7
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.3
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Clavicular be the top ranked Chad by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $3.33
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.67
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 March 16-22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.85

Dimitar Kuzmanov position

Zadar: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Arthur Gea

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will Manchester City reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Tottenham Hotspur reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will Ethereum reach $1,700 June 29-July 5?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $3.55
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.45
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bodø/Glimt reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.51

Yes position

Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.15

Lukas Neumayer position

Zadar: Lukas Neumayer vs Sumit Nagal

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.5

Mariano Navone position

Cap Cana: Alexander Blockx vs Mariano Navone

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Jilin Northeast Tigers position

Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Shanxi Loongs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.69

Bangladesh position

ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistan

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.15

Elsa Jacquemot position

Miami Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Elsa Jacquemot

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.1

Yes position

Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.9

Venezuela position

Final Stage: Italy vs. Venezuela

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.6

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7

No position

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.65

Daniel Merida Aguilar position

Miami Open, Qualification: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Dalibor Svrcina

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.55

Zhejiang Golden Bulls position

Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Zhejiang Lions

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

Bahrain position

ODI Series Malaysia vs Bahrain: Malaysia vs Bahrain

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

Venezuela position

Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuela

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.35

Martin Landaluce position

Miami Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Martin Landaluce

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.8

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $3.5

No position

Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

Aleksandar Vukic position

Miami Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Billy Harris

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.95

Matej Dodig position

Zadar: Martin Krumich vs Matej Dodig

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $1.56

Christopher OConnell position

Miami Open, Qualification: Alexander Blockx vs Christopher O'Connell