Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $265.83
- Potential payout
- $5.11K
- Potential profit
- $4.85K
- Multiplier
- 19.23x
- User PnL
- $3.92
Polymarket Trader
adn2859
0x14e2833acc687f8c93f73e6e88a96f6cf54ba8b0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $265.83
- Realized PnL
- $1.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.61
- Potential profit
- $83.61
- User PnL
- -$51
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $567.31
No position
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $347.84
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.42
Yes position
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.91
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.86
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.79
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.31
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.11
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.71
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.63
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.5
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.07
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $32.31
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.45
No position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.09
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.33
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Rockets
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.79
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.75
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.53
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.9
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.03
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 7?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.27
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 42.5 on November 7 2025?
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.77
Yes position
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?No 99.9% 1,650.95 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 5.1% 5,112.09 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes 21% 427.66 shares
- Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes 61% 83.61 shares
- Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?No 65.5% 1,650.96 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No 99.6% 543.03 shares
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?Yes 2.6% 4,408.04 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes 22% 445.22 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETUp 75% 58.67 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes 80% 364.59 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 35.7% 130.79 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 60.3% 190.35 shares