Polymarket Trader

jkase

0x14e8ab8ec25d94ce1ed324ef553803d901fa86d9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.11K
Realized PnL: $1.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $317.97
Potential profit: $317.97
User PnL: -$200

No position

Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $194.22
Potential payout: $205.19
Potential profit: $10.98
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$5.78

Yes position

Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.1%
Current value: $120.64
Potential payout: $128.2
Potential profit: $7.56
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $20.64

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 90.7%
Current value: $101.74
Potential payout: $112.23
Potential profit: $10.49
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.74

Yes position

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $94.37
Potential payout: $110.37
Potential profit: $16
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$5.63

No position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93.4%
Current value: $101.91
Potential payout: $109.17
Potential profit: $7.26
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.91

Canadiens position

Sabres vs. Canadiens

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.3
Potential profit: $105.3
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $101.07
Potential payout: $102.25
Potential profit: $1.18
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.07

No position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $99.13
Potential payout: $101.94
Potential profit: $2.8
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.87

No position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $101.83
Potential payout: $101.83
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.83

No position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $98.52
Potential payout: $101.73
Potential profit: $3.2
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$1.48

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $101.27
Potential payout: $101.32
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $1.27

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$50

Hurricanes position

Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Raptors position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.5
Potential profit: $29.5
User PnL: -$10

Sabres position

Canadiens vs. Sabres

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.52
Potential profit: $24.52
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

No position

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.72

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.41

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.34

No position

Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.15

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.25

Yes position

Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.41

Yes position

Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.9

Yes position

Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.85

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.53

No position

U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.42

No position

Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.64

Yes position

Will FedEx say "Tariff" during earnings call?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.13

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.08

No position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.85

No position

Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.95

No position

Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.63

Yes position

GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.56

Yes position

Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.41

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.65

No position

Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.65

No position

Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 94.2% 111.11 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 89.1% 112.23 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 91.6% 109.17 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 97.8% 102.25 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.1% 101.94 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.3% 101.73 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.2% 101.83 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 90% 111.11 shares
Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?

No 97.5% 205.19 shares
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Yes 90.6% 110.37 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

No 98.7% 101.32 shares
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights

Hurricanes 3% 33.33 shares