pld2

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $1.46
Potential payout: $18.64
Potential profit: $17.18
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: -$0.54

Conor McGregor position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $6.67
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $11.85
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.11
Potential profit: $18.11
User PnL: -$0.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.28
Potential profit: $13.28
User PnL: -$1.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.7
Potential profit: $10.7
User PnL: -$4.92

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.04
Potential profit: $8.04
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.99
Potential profit: $6.99
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $6.29
Potential profit: $5.51
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: -$0.22

Suns position

Suns vs. Timberwolves

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.77
Potential profit: $3.77
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.67
Potential profit: $3.67
User PnL: -$0.99

Jets position

Predators vs. Jets

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.64
Potential profit: $3.64
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.2
Potential profit: $3.2
User PnL: -$0.99

Bruno Silva position

UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $2.44
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-03-13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $2.44
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.38
Potential profit: $2.38
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.24
Potential profit: $2.24
User PnL: -$0.98

Jazz position

Jazz vs. Kings

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $2.17
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.93
Potential profit: $1.93
User PnL: -$0.98

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Matsushima position

WTT - Men's Singles: Chuqin Wang vs Sora Matsushima

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.78

76ers position

Trail Blazers vs. 76ers

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Maple Leafs position

Ducks vs. Maple Leafs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Rockets

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Colorado State Rams position

Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Colorado State Rams

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

San Diego State Aztecs position

New Mexico Lobos vs. San Diego State Aztecs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

Red Wings position

Flames vs. Red Wings

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Canadiens position

Bruins vs. Canadiens

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET