Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $47.09
- Potential payout
- $724.53
- Potential profit
- $677.44
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$76.07
Polymarket Trader
0x14Fc1BFE388832485488b95d263CA3Fcb9a31A0A-1767922757803
0x14fc1bfe388832485488b95d263ca3fcb9a31a0a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $47.09
- Realized PnL
- $137.69
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $266.65
- Potential profit
- $266.65
- User PnL
- -$4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $134.76
- Potential profit
- $134.76
- User PnL
- -$4.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $112.5
- Potential profit
- $112.5
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110.01
- Potential profit
- $110.01
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.65
- Potential profit
- $66.65
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.01
- Potential profit
- $50.01
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.98
- Potential profit
- $39.98
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.98
- Potential profit
- $39.98
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.2
- Potential profit
- $33.2
- User PnL
- -$4.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.04
- Potential profit
- $29.04
- User PnL
- -$9.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.16
- Potential profit
- $26.16
- User PnL
- -$4.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.02
- Potential profit
- $24.02
- User PnL
- -$15.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.93
- Potential profit
- $20.93
- User PnL
- -$3.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.48
- Potential profit
- $19.48
- User PnL
- -$15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETUp 77% 19.48 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETUp 2% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETUp 7% 10.71 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETUp 7% 14.28 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETUp 4% 25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETDown 81% 6.94 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETDown 72% 6.94 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETUp 58% 8.62 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETUp 46% 2.17 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETUp 56% 12.82 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETUp 39% 12.82 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETUp 1% 100 shares