Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Current value
- $158.34
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 10.47x
- User PnL
- $12.43
Polymarket Trader
Risse
0x151fbed41caf912175e80f02e160f0c685e60cc0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $858.11
- Realized PnL
- $532.05
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Current value
- $135.23
- Potential payout
- $648.59
- Potential profit
- $513.36
- Multiplier
- 4.80x
- User PnL
- -$12
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $470.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $29.25
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.95
Yes position
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.50 on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $3.29
- Potential payout
- $226.83
- Potential profit
- $223.54
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$14.86
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $90.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $9.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $13.5
Hynek Barton position
Istanbul: Hynek Barton vs David Jorda Sanchis
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.12
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $69.89
Linda Fruhvirtova position
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Harmony Tan vs Linda Fruhvirtova
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.73
No position
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.42
No position
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.8
No position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.69
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
Yes position
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.49
No position
Kamala president by Friday?
Ends Jul 26, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.93
Anhelina Kalinina position
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Panna Udvardy vs Anhelina Kalinina
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.4
Yes position
Will Obama endorse Kamala by tomorrow?
Ends Jul 26, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.43
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
No position
Will $BTC reach 75k in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
Yes position
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Democratic position
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.28
Yes position
Biden COVID free by next Friday?
Ends Jul 26, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023?
Ends Dec 1, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.50 on June 30, 2026?Yes 8% 79 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?No 97.9% 0.36 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No 93% 1,075.27 shares
- Russian strike on Poland by September 30?No 95.4% 1,182.96 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No 99.1% 1,138.42 shares
- Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?No 94.8% 516.38 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No 86.8% 1,138.43 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?No 80% 1,249.7 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No 98.8% 1,436.94 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No 90% 54.94 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No 93% 111.94 shares
- Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?No 94% 109.89 shares