No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $158.61K
- Potential payout
- $197.03K
- Potential profit
- $38.42K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $494.94
Polymarket Trader
alliswell
0x1521b47bf0c41f6b7fd3ad41cdec566812c8f23e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $285.84K
- Realized PnL
- $1.38M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $81.43K
- Potential payout
- $82.21K
- Potential profit
- $780.98
- User PnL
- $2.63K
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $40.58K
- Potential payout
- $45.34K
- Potential profit
- $4.76K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $5.22K
- Potential payout
- $5.84K
- Potential profit
- $612.76
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $204.25
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $151.35K
Yes position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $137.51K
Yes position
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.75K
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.41K
Yes position
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $99.8K
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.02K
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $94.62K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.09K
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.29K
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.76K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.53K
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $50.2K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.58K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.58K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.8K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.64K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.15K
Yes position
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.83K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.5K
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.42K
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.84K
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.83K
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.18K
No position
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.54K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 81% 809.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 86% 3,098.28 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 73% 12,973.89 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 96.1% 7,904.63 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 86% 1,776.18 shares
- Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes 97.5% 232.48 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 96.7% 6,528.38 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 98% 10,000 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 82% 242.1 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 80.4% 720.83 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 30% 45 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 28% 794 shares