Polymarket Trader

FridayImInLove

0x152f67a53948be8e8999a5badb4a4b083909c7e7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $152.19
Realized PnL: $9.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.83K
Potential profit: $56.83K
User PnL: -$449.95

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.02K
Potential profit: $50.02K
User PnL: -$359.96

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.99K
Potential profit: $17.99K
User PnL: -$499.98

Yes position

Epstein client list released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.33K
Potential profit: $15.33K
User PnL: -$899.95

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.62K
Potential profit: $13.62K
User PnL: -$49.99

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $12K
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.05K
Potential profit: $10.05K
User PnL: -$189.99

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.92K
Potential profit: $8.92K
User PnL: -$259.98

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.15K
Potential profit: $7.15K
User PnL: -$799.99

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.43K
Potential profit: $6.43K
User PnL: -$44.99

Yes position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.08K
Potential profit: $5.08K
User PnL: -$899.99

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.02K
Potential profit: $5.02K
User PnL: -$11

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.58K
Potential profit: $4.58K
User PnL: -$85

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.46K
Potential profit: $4.46K
User PnL: -$100

No position

Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.84K
Potential profit: $3.84K
User PnL: -$411.79

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 7?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.43K
Potential profit: $3.43K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.23K
Potential profit: $3.23K
User PnL: -$599.99

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.43K
Potential profit: $2.43K
User PnL: -$220

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 7.2%
Current value: $152.19
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $1.96K
Multiplier: 13.89x
User PnL: $42.2

Yes position

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $2.11K
User PnL: -$200

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $2.08K
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 9?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.97K
Potential profit: $1.97K
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.86K
Potential profit: $1.86K
User PnL: -$18.57

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.92K

Yes position

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21K

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $485.08

Yes position

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $386.09

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.58

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $212.07

Yes position

Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.73

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.31

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.02

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.31

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.99

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.33

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.95

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Yes 6% 827.82 shares
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Yes 6% 335.12 shares
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Yes 41% 24.39 shares
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Yes 4.2% 950.86 shares
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Yes 9.9% 101.39 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Yes 9.6% 259.64 shares
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Yes 17% 58.82 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?

Yes 2% 1,001.7 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 4?

Yes 4.6% 86.58 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 5?

Yes 4.5% 102.55 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 4?

Yes 3.3% 300.68 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 5?

Yes 4.9% 102.55 shares