0x1536ec621d5bf37f9eeeFd48e551F783ab707f40-1769679747081

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $101.17
Potential payout: $134
Potential profit: $32.83
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $31.49

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $78.54
Potential payout: $132
Potential profit: $53.46
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $4.62

No position

Will Austria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 84.2%
Current value: $99.3
Potential payout: $118
Potential profit: $18.7
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $26.14

No position

Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $39.78
Potential payout: $117
Potential profit: $77.22
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$5.85

Yes position

Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $39.9
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $65.1
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $2.1

No position

Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $26.78
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $78.23
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$23.63

No position

Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $65.41
Potential payout: $103
Potential profit: $37.6
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $5.67

No position

Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $64.89
Potential payout: $103
Potential profit: $38.11
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $8.24

No position

Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $48.51
Potential payout: $99
Potential profit: $50.49
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: -$5.94

No position

Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $38.61
Potential payout: $99
Potential profit: $60.39
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$6.93

No position

Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $76.43
Potential payout: $97.98
Potential profit: $21.56
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $11.76

No position

Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $14.81
Potential payout: $92.54
Potential profit: $77.74
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$11.11

No position

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $84.88
Potential payout: $88
Potential profit: $3.12
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $25.92

No position

Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $35.69
Potential payout: $86
Potential profit: $50.31
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$21.07

No position

Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $50.15
Potential payout: $81.55
Potential profit: $31.4
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $3.67

No position

Will Egypt reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $34.37
Potential payout: $79
Potential profit: $44.64
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$11.45

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $76.32
Potential payout: $78
Potential profit: $1.68
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $38.1

No position

Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $51.17
Potential payout: $75.81
Potential profit: $24.64
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $7.96

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $74
Potential profit: $73.04
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$20.5

No position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 47.7%
Current value: $34.34
Potential payout: $72
Potential profit: $37.66
Multiplier: 2.10x
User PnL: -$11.74

Yes position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $8.12
Potential payout: $58
Potential profit: $49.88
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$20.88

No position

Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $1.37
Potential payout: $3.47
Potential profit: $2.1
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

NRG position

Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93

Navone position

Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Navone (+1.5)

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.03

No position

Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.72

Over position

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.08

Team WE position

Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.5

Over position

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.44

Over position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.44

GIANTX position

LoL: GIANTX vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.96

Mexico position

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.98

FOKUS position

Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Ursa (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.83

Under position

Jodar vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.88

Hanwha Life Esports Challengers position

Game Handicap: FOX.Y (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (+1.5)

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.74

Yes position

Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.58

Under position

Mensik vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 38.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.65

FUT Esports position

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.26

University War position

Valorant: Leviatán Academy vs University War (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: ACE Masters Playoffs

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.65

Yes position

Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.4

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?

Implied probability: 95%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $52.02

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52

Boston Red Sox position

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.6

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.01

Yes position

Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.45

Under position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.38

B8 position

Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2