Armenia

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $206.53
Potential payout: $82.61K
Potential profit: $82.4K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.61K

Yes position

Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $123.92
Potential payout: $82.61K
Potential profit: $82.49K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.69K

Yes position

Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $922.19
Potential payout: $68.31K
Potential profit: $67.39K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$577.29

Yes position

Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $102.47
Potential payout: $68.31K
Potential profit: $68.21K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.4K

Yes position

Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $239.09
Potential payout: $68.31K
Potential profit: $68.07K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.26K

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $876.34
Potential payout: $67.41K
Potential profit: $66.53K
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$602.79

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $1.08K
Potential payout: $67.41K
Potential profit: $66.33K
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$400.55

Yes position

Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $31.11
Potential payout: $62.21K
Potential profit: $62.18K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.33K

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $2.02K
Potential payout: $62.11K
Potential profit: $60.09K
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: $663.15

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $825.59
Potential payout: $56.94K
Potential profit: $56.11K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$711.6

Yes position

Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $45.4
Potential payout: $30.27K
Potential profit: $30.22K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$565.08

Yes position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $21.34
Potential payout: $14.23K
Potential profit: $14.2K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$253.81

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 22.7%
Current value: $2.86K
Potential payout: $12.61K
Potential profit: $9.76K
Multiplier: 4.42x
User PnL: $2.46K

Yes position

Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $54.64
Potential payout: $3.31K
Potential profit: $3.26K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $67.41
Potential payout: $1.71K
Potential profit: $1.64K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $30.69

Yes position

Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $993.5
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $2.56

Yes position

Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $993.5
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $2.56

Yes position

Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $994
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $2.06

Yes position

Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $993.5
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $2.56

Yes position

Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $993.5
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $2.56

Yes position

Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $993.5
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $2.56

Yes position

Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $993.5
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $2.56

Yes position

Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $992.5
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $3.56

Yes position

Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $992.5
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $3.56

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 56.5%
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $16.42K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.71K

Yes position

Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.52K

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.42K

Yes position

Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.58K

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5K

No position

Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1K

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.97K

Yes position

Will 'Minecraft' gross more than 120m on opening weekend?

Ends Apr 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.04K

Yes position

Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.54K

Yes position

Will Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?

Ends Apr 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.53K

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 12%
Multiplier: 8.37x
User PnL: $2.42K

Yes position

Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.28K

Yes position

Will the next Pope be from North America?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17K

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11K

No position

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2K

No position

Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88K

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% or less in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?