Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$75.4
Polymarket Trader
0x1538B16CCB0b8EA9636CabDbBa275E75C5D20090-1768826825034
0x1538b16ccb0b8ea9636cabdbba275e75c5d20090
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $104.2
- Realized PnL
- $44.92
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.9%
- Current value
- $6.56
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $23.45
- Multiplier
- 4.58x
- User PnL
- -$5.52
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.35
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.95
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-03 House seat?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $6.7
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $3.3
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.8%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.02
- Multiplier
- 10.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.75
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.35
No position
Will Frank Ocean release an album in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $8.25
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.75
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $1.4
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.6
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 25.9%
- Current value
- $2.59
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.42
- Multiplier
- 3.87x
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-22 House seat?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $7.75
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $1.4
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.6
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$4.95
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-27 House seat?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $9.3
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the CT-05 House seat?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $9.4
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.61
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.85
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.15
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.95
No position
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $8.9
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.1
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.16
- Multiplier
- 11.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $7.1
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $2.9
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $2.6
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.4
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.15
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $6
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $4
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.95
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $7.45
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $2.55
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-22 House seat?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $2.85
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.15
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.7
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
No position
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27
Yes position
Will Taylor Swift release a new song in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
Yes position
Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
No position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $2.43
No position
Will Royce White be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Yes position
Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- $1.74
Yes position
Will SZA release a new song in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
Yes position
Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Will Nancy Dahlstrom advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Alaska in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will Mark Johnston be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Katie Porter advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will Adam Schwarze be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will Mark Teixeira be the Republican nominee for TX-21?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.8% 1,300 shares
- Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?Yes 25% 10 shares
- Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?Yes 40% 9 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?Yes 97.4% 4 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 9% 20 shares
- Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 13% 20 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 42.6% 20 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 54% 10 shares
- Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?No 86% 10 shares
- Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Yes 64% 10 shares
- Will Royce White be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?No 96.4% 10 shares
- Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?Yes 14% 10 shares