Polymarket Trader

balloooooo

0x153b924725dc6ade8c0ceca618a36060513168dd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.94K
Realized PnL: $12.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33K
Potential profit: $83.33K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $2.55K
Potential payout: $60K
Potential profit: $57.45K
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$849.96

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.1K
Potential payout: $44.89K
Potential profit: $43.79K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$42.29

Yes position

Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33K
Potential profit: $33.33K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33K
Potential profit: $33.33K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.7%
Current value: $868.59
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $8.13K
Multiplier: 10.36x
User PnL: $73.56

Yes position

Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.95K
Potential profit: $6.95K
User PnL: -$69.52

Yes position

Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.94K
Potential profit: $3.94K
User PnL: -$635.18

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 26.1%
Current value: $391.5
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 3.83x
User PnL: $125

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$23

Yes position

Will India invade Pakistan before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$190

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $659.99
Potential profit: $659.99
User PnL: -$260.06

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $32.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $467.5
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $2.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.78
Potential profit: $399.78
User PnL: -$30.27

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $389.24
Potential profit: $389.05
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.59

Yes position

Will Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.84
Potential profit: $272.84
User PnL: -$100.95

Yes position

Will DeepSeek be #1 model before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $240
User PnL: -$45.6

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.98
Potential profit: $199.98
User PnL: -$34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $197.44
Potential profit: $197.44
User PnL: -$69.1

Yes position

Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $179.78
Potential profit: $179.78
User PnL: -$18.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.89
Potential profit: $104.89
User PnL: -$7.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9

Up position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Sep 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$57

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1K

Yes position

Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?

Ends Jul 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47K

No position

MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?

Ends Dec 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $812.52

Yes position

US military action against Iran before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $590

Yes position

Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?

Ends May 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $528

No position

Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $512.8

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $509.75

Yes position

India military action against Pakistan before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $467.22

No position

Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 11?

Ends Jan 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $457.34

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $424.98

No position

Ethereum ETF begins trading by July 4?

Ends Jul 3, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $408.33

No position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $406.16

No position

South Korean President impeached by Friday?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $352

No position

Bernie Sanders endorses Kamala as Dem Nominee?

Ends Aug 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $338.78

No position

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $329.5

Yes position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $326.23

No position

Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $311.55

Yes position

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $305

No position

Trump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $279.04

Yes position

Trump cryptocurrency executive order in first week?

Ends Jan 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260

Yes position

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $258.82

Yes position

Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $257.32

Yes position

Israel military response against Iran in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.1

Yes position

Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 2.5% 15,000 shares
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 2.5% 10,000 shares
Will STRC dip to $90 in 2026?

Yes 71% 77.46 shares
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 2.6% 200 shares
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 2.6% 5,568.39 shares
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 2.6% 14,120.25 shares
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 8.8% 407.43 shares
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 8.4% 6,137.99 shares
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 8.5% 499.82 shares
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 8.2% 745.01 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Down 7.1% 199.78 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Down 21% 99.31 shares