Yes position
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $159.67
- Potential payout
- $21.29K
- Potential profit
- $21.13K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$31.93
Polymarket Trader
Squareone
0x15669ac6417d6f258c84f9232222b84fde0f86af
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $569.32
- Realized PnL
- $1.53K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.1K
- Potential profit
- $7.1K
- User PnL
- -$558.49
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $47.45
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$20.95
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.7%
- Current value
- $127.8
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 9.39x
- User PnL
- -$36.6
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $54.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $945.5
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$17.5
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.6%
- Current value
- $90.2
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $309.8
- Multiplier
- 4.43x
- User PnL
- $31.8
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $327.87
- Potential profit
- $327.87
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$16.2
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$144
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$56
Yes position
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $189.32
- Potential profit
- $189.32
- User PnL
- -$55.09
Yes position
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $14.4
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $145.6
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$6.4
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$31.9
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$50.6
Casper Ruud position
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$50
Arsenal FC position
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$72.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $65.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $34.5
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $5.5
No position
Trump kiss by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$65.6
Y
Yes position
Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $9.8
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $60.2
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
No position
Will Trump say "Marble" or "Granite" this week? (April 27 - May 3)
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$18.9
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$14
No position
Will Trump say "Drill baby drill" this week? (April 27 - May 3)
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$20.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.6
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180
Yes position
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Multiplier
- 28.17x
- User PnL
- $162.46
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.72
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $62.26
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.87
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Multiplier
- 46.51x
- User PnL
- $45
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $43.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.88
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.67
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
Yes position
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $33.6
No position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.35
Over position
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.13
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.53
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4.5% 400 shares
- Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5Under 55% 50 shares
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Portugal 68% 73 shares
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.3% 3,000 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?No 79.7% 24 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.7% 1,200 shares
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.7% 3,000 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.3% 2,600 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 1,500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 0.1% 5,000 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.8% 140 shares
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.5% 300 shares