Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.9%
- Current value
- $25.14
- Potential payout
- $27.37
- Potential profit
- $2.23
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Polymarket Trader
SunkenShrine
0x15741aab39f98edfdfc5fe571ab357d21f26bc75
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.14
- Realized PnL
- $10.38
- Win rate
- 92.9%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $25.64
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.27
- Potential profit
- $7.27
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Over position
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 122m?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 95% 27.37 shares
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5Over 83% 31.27 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 8?Yes 94% 11.7 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8?Yes 77% 12.99 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8?Yes 27.5% 7.27 shares
- Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 122m?No 97.7% 24.56 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 95.1% 25.28 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 94.9% 25.29 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 99% 24.29 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 98.8% 24.29 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 93% 25.26 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 95% 25.26 shares