Polymarket Trader

kilima

0x1574d715583f97ee03175f4f132d331720967b2a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $60.34
Realized PnL: $101.98
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$11

Over position

Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$30.6

FUT Esports position

Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $15.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $34.75
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Rippling IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $6.89
Potential payout: $47.49
Potential profit: $40.6
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$1.93

Yes position

Celonis IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $4.31
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $30.17
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$5.69

EDward Gaming position

Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $30.3
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 76.7%
Current value: $22.99
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $7.01
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $11.68

Over position

Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Glean IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $2.45
Potential payout: $14.84
Potential profit: $12.39
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$1.26

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $5.52
Potential payout: $12.99
Potential profit: $7.47
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$4.48

Yes position

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.91
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $3.9
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $2.01
Potential payout: $2.1
Potential profit: $0.08
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $1.41
Potential profit: $0.69
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$0.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Leavitt say "Biden" 5+ times during the next press briefing?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.83

No position

Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.94

Yes position

Will Leavitt say "American people" 5+ times during the next press briefing?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.7

EDward Gaming position

Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.47

Yes position

Will Leavitt say "Nuclear" during the next press briefing?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.63

Yes position

Will Leavitt say "Police" during the next press briefing?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.42

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

No position

GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

No position

Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

No position

Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

No position

Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29

Yes position

Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $1.08

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

No position

Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Deel IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: $0.9

No position

U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

No 37.7% 30 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 30% 50 shares
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffs

EDward Gaming 33% 30.3 shares
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs

FUT Esports 30% 50 shares
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs

EDward Gaming 46% 24.63 shares
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs

EDward Gaming 19% 52.63 shares
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs

EDward Gaming 40% 25 shares
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 11% 100 shares
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5

Over 44% 22.73 shares
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Over 51% 60 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Down 42% 2.38 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

No 79% 1.27 shares