Polymarket Trader

0xrezero

0x1583c5d3f2b55b3ec71c599c6b90d328d49cbdde

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.77K
Realized PnL: $24.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $372
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $428
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $260
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $540
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$36

Yes position

Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $241.1
Potential payout: $529.9
Potential profit: $288.8
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$116.04

No position

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $281.15
Potential payout: $442.75
Potential profit: $161.6
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $306.66
Potential payout: $422.98
Potential profit: $116.32
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $14.73

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $210
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $190
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Tyreek Hill play for the Los Angeles Chargers next?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $7.2
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $292.8
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$144.2

Yes position

Will Andoni Iraola be the next manager of SSC Napoli?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $248.81
Potential profit: $248.69
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$112.33

No position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 65.2%
Current value: $160.41
Potential payout: $246.22
Potential profit: $85.81
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will Maurizio Sarri be the next manager of SSC Napoli?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $218.51
Potential profit: $217.96
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$104.34

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $159.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $40.1
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $137
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $63
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $138.98
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $61.02
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $14.98

Yes position

Will Filipe Luis be the next manager of SSC Napoli?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.69
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$90.7

No position

Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $116.5
Potential payout: $177.86
Potential profit: $61.36
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $46.5
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $103.5
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: -$69

Yes position

Will Ruben Amorim be the next manager of SSC Napoli?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $133.9
Potential profit: $133.7
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$61.39

Yes position

Will Mauricio Pochettino be the next manager of SSC Napoli?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $133.9
Potential profit: $133.83
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$61.53

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $45.22
Potential payout: $131.1
Potential profit: $85.88
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$39.69

Yes position

Will Xavi Hernandez be the next manager of SSC Napoli?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $130.3
Potential profit: $129.97
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$59.61

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 87.7%
Current value: $110.16
Potential payout: $125.61
Potential profit: $15.45
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $10.11

No position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $62.69
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $47.31
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $1.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $52.11
Potential payout: $102.17
Potential profit: $50.07
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$4.87

No position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $58.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $41.55
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$0.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3AM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.05K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $950

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $914.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $902.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $882.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $821.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $818.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $817.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $768.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $763.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $737.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8AM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $720.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3AM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $711.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $707.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $705.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $699.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $698.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 67% 50.1 shares
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 37% 659 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?

Yes 83% 45.46 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 83% 100.33 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 27% 900.29 shares
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 in May?

No 42% 51 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 41% 200 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 27.8% 189 shares
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?

No 43% 8 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

No 85.9% 211 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?

No 60% 449.72 shares
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery

Menery 32% 49.72 shares