Yes position
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $275.57K
- Potential profit
- $275.57K
- User PnL
- -$280.8
Polymarket Trader
flow-trader-at-optiver
@MonteCarloSpam
0x1584cb3b5a84944bd0db072c43d67189397071b6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $90.3K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $265.97K
- Potential profit
- $265.97K
- User PnL
- -$222.35
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $265.06K
- Potential profit
- $265.06K
- User PnL
- -$284.15
Yes position
Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $252.62K
- Potential profit
- $252.62K
- User PnL
- -$253.38
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $243.29K
- Potential profit
- $243.29K
- User PnL
- -$240.37
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240.57K
- Potential profit
- $240.57K
- User PnL
- -$232.15
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240.57K
- Potential profit
- $240.57K
- User PnL
- -$232.15
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240.57K
- Potential profit
- $240.57K
- User PnL
- -$231.91
Yes position
Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240.57K
- Potential profit
- $240.57K
- User PnL
- -$214.59
Yes position
Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $237.46K
- Potential profit
- $237.46K
- User PnL
- -$218.22
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $236.6K
- Potential profit
- $236.6K
- User PnL
- -$232.81
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $228.86K
- Potential profit
- $228.86K
- User PnL
- -$216.96
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $226.92K
- Potential profit
- $226.92K
- User PnL
- -$211.94
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $203.02K
- Potential profit
- $203.02K
- User PnL
- -$236.72
Yes position
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.09K
- Potential profit
- $138.09K
- User PnL
- -$17.68
Yes position
Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.65K
- Potential profit
- $137.65K
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.65K
- Potential profit
- $135.65K
- User PnL
- -$7.87
Yes position
Will Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125.15K
- Potential profit
- $125.15K
- User PnL
- -$139.92
Yes position
Will Paulo Portas win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $124.72K
- Potential profit
- $124.72K
- User PnL
- -$137.44
Yes position
Will António Filipe win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $124.28K
- Potential profit
- $124.28K
- User PnL
- -$139.82
Yes position
Will Tim Vieira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $124.04K
- Potential profit
- $124.04K
- User PnL
- -$137.68
Yes position
Will Vitorino Silva win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.58K
- Potential profit
- $123.58K
- User PnL
- -$138.9
Yes position
Will Manuela Magno win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.36K
- Potential profit
- $123.36K
- User PnL
- -$140.5
Yes position
Will José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $122.61K
- Potential profit
- $122.61K
- User PnL
- -$140.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.96K
Yes position
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $8.66K
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.44K
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.04K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.19K
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1K
No position
Will the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.95K
Yes position
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93K
Yes position
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51K
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.49K
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.18K
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.99K
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56K
Yes position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.38K
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22K
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14K
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 38.3%
- Multiplier
- 2.61x
- User PnL
- $2.01K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.94K
Yes position
Will "Man Vs Baby" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 16, 2025)
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93K
Yes position
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 1%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92K
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84K
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $1.83K
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.69K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 13.4% 241.03 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 80% 670.08 shares
- Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 98.8% 707.72 shares
- Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 1.3% 12,599.64 shares
- Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 2.7% 14,145.38 shares
- Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 99.8% 187.43 shares
- Will Han Jun-ho win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No 99.8% 232.7 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yes 97.8% 64.67 shares
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 69% 702.12 shares
- Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No 69% 22 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 66% 79.38 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No 66% 669.32 shares