26kmhou

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $36.75
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$6.72

Yes position

Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?

Ends Aug 12, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $9.87
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $32.13
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$6.93

Yes position

Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $3.99
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $38.01
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$9.87

Yes position

Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by July 31?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $2.94
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $39.06
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$8.61

Yes position

Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by July 31?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $40.72
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$6.28

No position

Will 100T make a roster change before August?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $41.77
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$7.12

No position

Over $12M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $42
User PnL: -$15.54

No position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in July?

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $7.46
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $13.55
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$2.21

Yes position

Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by July 31?

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $4.62
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $16.38
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$1.47

Yes position

Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $800B by December 31?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $4.31
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $16.7
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$3.05

Yes position

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $2.21
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $18.8
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$2.63

Yes position

Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $2.42
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $18.59
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$3.68

Yes position

Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be less than 0.0%?

Implied probability: 8.6%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $19.2
Multiplier: 11.70x
User PnL: -$4.29

Yes position

Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $4B by December 31?

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $2.73
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $18.27
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$4.62

Yes position

Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by July 31?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.37
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $19.64
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$6.62

Yes position

Will XLG Esports be the Last VCT CN Team Standing at EWC 2026?

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $19.74
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$8.4

Yes position

Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 1.2% and 1.4%?

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $17.85
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$3.78

Yes position

Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between -0.8% and 0.0%?

Ends Aug 17, 2026

Implied probability: 13.2%
Current value: $2.77
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $18.23
Multiplier: 7.58x
User PnL: -$5.33

Yes position

Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $400B by December 31?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $2.42
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $18.59
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$2.63

Yes position

Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?

Ends Feb 12, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $2.42
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $18.59
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$7.04

Yes position

Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31?

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $6.83
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $14.18
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$2.63

No position

Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $15B by December 31?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $3.05
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $17.96
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$3.89

Yes position

Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $4.41
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $16.59
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$4.62

Yes position

Will LeBron's next contract average $10M-$15M per year?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $1.39
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $19.61
Multiplier: 15.15x
User PnL: -$5.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 17?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.6

No position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 17?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.17

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on March 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 31.5%
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Toronto Raptors be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?

Ends Jun 5, 2027

Implied probability: 14%
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump say "Favored Nation" during Memphis Roundtable?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 27.5%
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 32.5%
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by July 31?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.9%
Multiplier: 5.92x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?

Ends Sep 2, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Frank F. Blas Jr. win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?