No position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $12.97
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $7.77
Polymarket Trader
0x1589...9e98
0x158946151568647f83b24e8880c42e3838e49e98
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $40.3
- Realized PnL
- $1.74
- Win rate
- 53.8%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $5.08
- Potential payout
- $9.16
- Potential profit
- $4.08
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $4.15
- Potential payout
- $8.65
- Potential profit
- $4.5
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Yes position
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $177.50 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $8.14
- Potential profit
- $7.25
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$3.66
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $3.41
- Potential payout
- $8.13
- Potential profit
- $4.71
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $3.25
- Potential payout
- $7.07
- Potential profit
- $3.82
- Multiplier
- 2.18x
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $5.19
- Potential payout
- $6.41
- Potential profit
- $1.22
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5.38
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $1.57
- Potential payout
- $3.37
- Potential profit
- $1.8
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $1.76
- Potential payout
- $3.05
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $2.71
- Potential profit
- $1.56
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.41
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.47
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.59
Yes position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Up position
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.64
N
No position
Will Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.38
No position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 29.7% 7.07 shares
- Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 7?Up 25% 6.56 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?Yes 37% 7 shares
- Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $177.50 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 56% 8.14 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 71% 2.79 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes 49% 3.37 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 77% 6.08 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?Yes 27% 6 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No 57% 3.05 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No 40% 8.13 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 52% 3.06 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?No 78% 6.41 shares