Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $23.55
- Potential payout
- $370.88
- Potential profit
- $347.33
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- $3.55
Polymarket Trader
Liric
0x159f2db9fd92b67351d0d536f94e425019debc63
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $159.02
- Realized PnL
- $232.62
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $7.21
- Potential payout
- $248.5
- Potential profit
- $241.3
- Multiplier
- 34.48x
- User PnL
- -$12.78
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $4.94
- Potential payout
- $176.47
- Potential profit
- $171.53
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$25.06
N
No position
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $31.06
- Potential payout
- $85.11
- Potential profit
- $54.04
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$8.94
Yes position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $7.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $42.25
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$32.25
Yes position
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $24.97
- Potential payout
- $49.93
- Potential profit
- $24.97
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $9.91
- Potential payout
- $30.07
- Potential profit
- $20.16
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- $5.89
No position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.7%
- Current value
- $22.72
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $7.28
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$5.03
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.98
- Potential profit
- $21.98
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $15.43
- Potential payout
- $17.05
- Potential profit
- $1.62
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $8.7
- Potential profit
- $5.7
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $2.81
- Potential payout
- $6.45
- Potential profit
- $3.65
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.7
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $3.02
- Potential payout
- $4.69
- Potential profit
- $1.66
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.84
- Potential profit
- $3.84
- User PnL
- -$1.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $3.7
- Potential profit
- $2.35
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Under position
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.24
- Potential profit
- $2.24
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.13
- Potential profit
- $2.13
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $30.34
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.97
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 25 at 5PM ET?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.29
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.45
No position
Israel x Syria security deal before September?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.2
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?
Ends Jul 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.29
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Will MicroStrategy hold 650k+ BTC by September 30?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
No position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.59
No position
MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC July 22-28?
Ends Jul 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27
Up position
Solana Up or Down - July 17, 4PM ET
Ends Jul 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $118K August 4–10?
Ends Aug 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 20?Yes 27% 3.7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 20?No 31% 6.45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 20?Yes 23% 8.7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 19?No 99.9% 71 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 95% 73.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 19?No 93.2% 8.58 shares
- Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?Yes 47% 2.13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 18?Yes 26% 3.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on June 18?No 98% 10.2 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 13.4% 30.07 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No 92.5% 30 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No 77.5% 25 shares