Yes position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.85K
- Potential profit
- $2.85K
- User PnL
- -$5.7
Polymarket Trader
Donfromad
0x15a65150f573c720ceac2447732181b41d295127
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $108.27
- Realized PnL
- $774.25
- Win rate
- 57.9%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- User PnL
- -$199
Yes position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- User PnL
- -$149
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $630.95
- Potential profit
- $630.95
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$31
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $294.44
- Potential profit
- $294.44
- User PnL
- -$53
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $254.86
- Potential profit
- $254.86
- User PnL
- -$79
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $225.65
- Potential profit
- $225.65
- User PnL
- -$110
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $222.22
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $214.29
- Potential profit
- $214.29
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.8%
- Current value
- $41.23
- Potential payout
- $198.68
- Potential profit
- $157.45
- Multiplier
- 4.82x
- User PnL
- $11.23
Yes position
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.4%
- Current value
- $23.44
- Potential payout
- $175.58
- Potential profit
- $152.14
- Multiplier
- 7.49x
- User PnL
- $13.44
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $149.12
- Potential profit
- $149.12
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $143.11
- Potential profit
- $143.11
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $2.95
- Potential payout
- $137.79
- Potential profit
- $134.85
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$7.05
Yes position
Will Hillary say "Victim" during her Epstein testimony?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.8
- Potential profit
- $103.8
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.41
- Potential profit
- $103.41
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $101
- Potential profit
- $101
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $4.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $95.95
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$22.95
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $5.19
- Potential payout
- $94.34
- Potential profit
- $89.15
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$44.81
Yes position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $26.67
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $56.67
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- $16.67
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.68
- Potential profit
- $64.68
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $4.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $45.25
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$8.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $616.33
Yes position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $66.21
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $41.81
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.1
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- $29.39
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $14
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.23
Yes position
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.33
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Yes 7% 985.71 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 94% 22.58 shares
- Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 23% 200 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?Yes 15.8% 630.95 shares
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 17.5% 581.74 shares
- Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?Yes 16% 31.25 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes 30% 100 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes 34% 103 shares
- Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 13% 153.84 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes 27% 51.85 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes 6.2% 500 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Yes 13% 1,000 shares