No position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $16.19
- Potential payout
- $32.38K
- Potential profit
- $32.36K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$104.75
Polymarket Trader
Chanthol
0x15a9f23a5d007a09778128dd04dc05adbf4aec4f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.19
- Realized PnL
- $13.93K
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.48K
- Potential profit
- $12.48K
- User PnL
- -$139.98
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.27K
- Potential profit
- $11.27K
- User PnL
- -$199.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.55K
- Potential profit
- $10.55K
- User PnL
- -$120
No position
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.81K
- Potential profit
- $5.81K
- User PnL
- -$10
N
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.54K
- Potential profit
- $4.54K
- User PnL
- -$11
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.07K
- Potential profit
- $2.07K
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.68K
- Potential profit
- $1.68K
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
N
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $945.88
- Potential profit
- $945.88
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $909.09
- Potential profit
- $909.09
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $843.33
- Potential profit
- $843.33
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $833.33
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $694.56
- Potential profit
- $694.56
- User PnL
- -$30
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $588.24
- Potential profit
- $588.24
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $529.73
- Potential profit
- $529.73
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $395.64
- Potential profit
- $395.64
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $359.47
- Potential profit
- $359.47
- User PnL
- -$100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.03K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.95K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.63
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.86
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.04
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.12
N
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$309.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No 0.4% 27,380.49 shares
- Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No 0.2% 5,000 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?No 0.3% 3,540.25 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?No 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?No 0.5% 945.88 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?No 0.6% 812.56 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 18% 55.56 shares
- Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in June?No 12.6% 395.64 shares
- Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in May?No 0.2% 5,805.55 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 8?Down 14.4% 69.44 shares
- Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?No 1.9% 529.73 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on June 4?Yes 12% 833.33 shares