Polymarket Trader

Thoemie

0x15adb5da8add27dbcaa0aca8bd17e3ec9a0af8fb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $291.64
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on November 12?

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $353.33
Potential profit: $353.33
User PnL: -$18.98

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $159.63
Potential profit: $159.63
User PnL: -$4.31

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?

Ends Aug 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2

de Ridder position

Allen vs. de Ridder

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.84
Potential profit: $96.84
User PnL: -$64.88

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 28, 3PM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$10.8

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.28
Potential profit: $27.28
User PnL: -$10.19

Cachoeira position

UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Cachoeira

Ends Aug 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.09
Potential profit: $26.09
User PnL: -$6

Lewis position

UFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $24
User PnL: -$6

Anders position

UFC Fight Night: Anders vs. Duncan

Ends Aug 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$5

Cerqueira position

UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Cerqueira

Ends Aug 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.11
Potential profit: $21.11
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.34
Potential profit: $17.34
User PnL: -$8

Yadong position

UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.43
Potential profit: $11.43
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 9?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$3

Figueiredo position

UFC 324: Figueiredo vs. Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Prelims)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Barriault position

UFC Fight Night: Magomedov vs. Barriault

Ends Jul 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Park position

Silva vs. Park

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.46
Potential profit: $7.46
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.12
Potential profit: $7.12
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during Saudi PM events on November 18?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.56
Potential profit: $6.56
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during Saudi PM events on November 18?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.32
Potential profit: $6.32
User PnL: -$4.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10AM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$1.2

No position

Fight to Go the Distance?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.88
Potential profit: $4.88
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?

Ends Jul 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.89
Potential profit: $1.89
User PnL: -$1.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.57

Belgaroui position

Bekoev vs. Belgaroui

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.61

de Ridder position

de Ridder vs. Nickal

Ends May 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.27

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $30 before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.15

de Ridder position

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridder

Ends Jul 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.33

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 28, 3PM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.39

Up position

Hyperliquid Up or Down on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.16

Yes position

Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 59-60°F on November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.52

Santos position

Barlow vs. Santos

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.28

Down position

Solana Up or Down on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.03

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.73

Rountree Jr. position

UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.

Ends Jun 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.51

Usman position

UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley

Ends Jun 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.33

Namajunas position

UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Maverick

Ends Jun 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.24

Salikhov position

UFC Fight Night: Salikhov vs. Leal

Ends Jul 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 2PM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.6

Fiziev position

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Bahamondes

Ends Jun 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

No position

Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 20?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.14

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.93

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.87

Yes position

Will Marc Márquez win the 2025 MotoGP Italy?

Ends Jun 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.68

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.66

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Down 14% 7.12 shares
XRP Up or Down - February 4, 9AM ET

Up 17% 5 shares
XRP Up or Down - January 28, 3PM ET

Down 99.9% 15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 2PM ET

Up 39% 40 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10AM ET

Up 20% 6 shares
Was Ilhan Omar sprayed with bacon grease?

Yes 4% 30 shares
Was Ilhan Omar sprayed with bacon grease?

Yes 4.4% 30 shares
XRP Up or Down - January 28, 9AM ET

Up 15% 7.4 shares
XRP Up or Down - January 28, 9AM ET

Up 6% 4.98 shares
XRP Up or Down - January 28, 9AM ET

Up 8% 16.16 shares
XRP Up or Down - January 28, 9AM ET

Up 18% 3.87 shares
XRP Up or Down - January 28, 9AM ET

Up 25% 35 shares