No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$60
Polymarket Trader
sophie.clark
0x15b32a44ab1dc35b000e7eb6d7d7033b69a2c1d9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $500
- Realized PnL
- $82.44
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by February 28?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $500
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.09
Thunder position
Hornets vs. Thunder
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$4.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Grok 4.20 released by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
S&P 500 (SPX) opening price Up or Down on January 5?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$2.9
No position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- New "Stranger Things" episode released by February 28?No 99.2% 500 shares
- New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?No 98.6% 500 shares
- Hornets vs. ThunderThunder 91% 5 shares
- Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)Yes 96.5% 10 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) opening price Up or Down on January 5?Yes 98% 5 shares
- Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?Yes 79% 5 shares
- Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record in 2025?No 83% 5 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 99.1% 5 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No 12% 500 shares
- Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No 14% 500 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes 83% 296.9 shares
- Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 98.5% 500 shares