No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.87K
- Potential profit
- $3.87K
- User PnL
- -$3.24K
Polymarket Trader
0x15bB6b231800265D5021a954AC90aaD6DdC69251-1768779816887
0x15bb6b231800265d5021a954ac90aad6ddc69251
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $971.75
- Realized PnL
- $2.57K
- Win rate
- 93.3%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.3K
- Potential profit
- $3.3K
- User PnL
- -$2.1K
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.9%
- Current value
- $559.3
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $140.7
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $102.6
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $186.01
- Potential payout
- $400.01
- Potential profit
- $214.01
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $226.45
- Potential payout
- $226.56
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $42.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $928.77
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $784.69
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $513.97
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.34
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.8
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.41
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $53.34
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.75
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $51.28
No position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.32
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.83
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.57
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$412.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 75.9% 431.54 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 62% 530.72 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 83.9% 3.55 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 82.5% 8.48 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes 78% 362.96 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 64.3% 25 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 62.2% 105 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes 75% 194.4 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 89.1% 1,869.62 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 74.5% 1.34 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No 68% 225.72 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 98.1% 604.02 shares