No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $480.88
- Potential payout
- $485
- Potential profit
- $4.12
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Polymarket Trader
chrisar
0x15bc54b56375874cc57196b26eafcfa09d7c5bbc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $904.74
- Realized PnL
- $337.44
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $423.86
- Potential payout
- $439.69
- Potential profit
- $15.83
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.58
No position
Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 23?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.28
No position
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $18.2
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.42
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.23
Gen.G position
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.18
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.67
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.18
No position
Will Phantom launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.96
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.64
N
No position
Exact Score: Panama 1 - 0 England?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.66
No position
Will Phantom launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.31
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.62
No position
Will CZ return to Binance by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.4
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.84
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.69
No position
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $4.89
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.47
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 5?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.37
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3
Hornets position
Mavericks vs. Hornets
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,000 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.95
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 99.2% 485 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 95.6% 439.69 shares
- Exact Score: Panama 1 - 0 England?No 97.7% 420 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No 99.7% 220 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?No 99.5% 412 shares
- Hyperliquid listed on Binance by June 30, 2026?No 98.3% 131 shares
- Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?No 99.6% 130 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?No 99.2% 134 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No 99.1% 220 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98.5% 568 shares
- Trump out as President by May 31?No 99.6% 560 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No 99.7% 545 shares