No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$4.99K
Polymarket Trader
HondaCivic
@0xMarchyel
0x15ceffed7bf820cd2d90f90ea24ae9909f5cd5fa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $119.05
- Realized PnL
- $43.2K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $16.07
- Potential payout
- $3.57K
- Potential profit
- $3.56K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$8.93
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $13.81
- Potential payout
- $2.76K
- Potential profit
- $2.75K
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$101.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $2.08K
- User PnL
- -$53.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $830.34
- Potential profit
- $830.34
- User PnL
- -$49.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $737.27
- Potential profit
- $737.27
- User PnL
- -$112.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $676.1
- Potential profit
- $676.1
- User PnL
- -$50.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $581.45
- Potential profit
- $581.45
- User PnL
- -$10.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $525
- Potential profit
- $525
- User PnL
- -$11.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500.06
- Potential profit
- $500.06
- User PnL
- -$4.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$8.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $439.49
- Potential profit
- $439.49
- User PnL
- -$20.35
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $4.34
- Potential payout
- $394.43
- Potential profit
- $390.09
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$33.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $387.58
- Potential profit
- $387.58
- User PnL
- -$55.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $370.22
- Potential profit
- $370.22
- User PnL
- -$37.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $354.81
- Potential profit
- $354.81
- User PnL
- -$5.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $293.98
- Potential profit
- $293.98
- User PnL
- -$24.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $270.91
- Potential profit
- $270.91
- User PnL
- -$9.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $249.88
- Potential profit
- $249.88
- User PnL
- -$47.59
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.6%
- Current value
- $84.84
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $55.16
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $68.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 87°F or below on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $132.58
- Potential profit
- $132.58
- User PnL
- -$25.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128.37
- Potential profit
- $128.37
- User PnL
- -$15.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.17
- Potential profit
- $126.17
- User PnL
- -$21.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.09
- Potential profit
- $123.09
- User PnL
- -$19.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 15°C or below on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.14K
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.06K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66K
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 16?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C or higher on February 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 9?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or higher on February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 56-57°F on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $936.51
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $926.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $872.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $830.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $759.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or higher on February 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $756.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $670.77
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $650.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $627.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $583.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 24?No 90% 68.78 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24?No 99.8% 500 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24?No 99.8% 500 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24?No 99.8% 500 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24?No 99.8% 500 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24?No 99.8% 500 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24?No 99.8% 500 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24?No 99.8% 500 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on May 24?No 99.9% 500 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24?No 99.9% 500 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24?No 99.9% 500 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24?No 99.9% 500 shares