No position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $56.58
- Potential payout
- $57.29
- Potential profit
- $0.72
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.58
Polymarket Trader
Satterfieldx
0x15d2436b060a8173c7b7f2aef76719fc6a8ecfd2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $56.58
- Realized PnL
- $5.93
- Win rate
- 72.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.41
- Potential profit
- $5.41
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.15
- Potential profit
- $5.15
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.59
No position
Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 85%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No 96% 57.29 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 92.3% 59.59 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5?Yes 95.5% 12.57 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 5?Yes 74% 5.41 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?Yes 19.4% 5.15 shares
- Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No 95.9% 18.77 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 97.2% 18.27 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 93% 18.28 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 94.6% 17.61 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 96.5% 17.62 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 88% 19.56 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 92% 19.57 shares