Polymarket Trader

monstur

@retentionjunkie

0x15fbd312f1925882ef83ba5aa69d7e2e5f6b252d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $42.26K
Realized PnL: $83.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $42.25K
Potential payout: $48.29K
Potential profit: $6.04K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $4.65K

No position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$300

Over position

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.23K
User PnL: -$800

Yes position

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
User PnL: -$547.49

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $927
Potential profit: $927
User PnL: -$381.57

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $375
Potential profit: $375
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$146

Yes position

Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $198.5
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $198.5
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.06

Under position

LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?

Ends Nov 4, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $101.48
Potential profit: $97.73
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: -$72.97

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $3.84
Potential payout: $7.32
Potential profit: $3.48
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$0.92

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $0.03
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.53K

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.99K

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.92K

No position

Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.7K

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.44K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.24K

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.02K

Utah State Aggies position

Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcats

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.97K

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.92K

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.89K

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.53K

Yes position

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.02K

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 4?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.77K

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.68K

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67K

Miami (OH) RedHawks position

SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55K

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5K

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3K

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11K

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02K

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.72K

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 13?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6K

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54K

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 18?

Up 31% 13.76 shares
England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5

Over 59.4% 505.05 shares
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score

Yes 51% 2,549.02 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 80% 375 shares
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5

Over 65% 1,230.77 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?

Yes 64.6% 40 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5

Under 51% 2,352.94 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?

Yes 63.4% 6 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?

Yes 66.5% 40 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?

Yes 75.7% 144 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?

Yes 73.3% 120 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?

Yes 59.9% 2,336.89 shares