Polymarket Trader

sevia

0x1617e3c43fca63e834d4dea9834136ccc375d662

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $400
Realized PnL: $2.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $105K on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $530
Potential profit: $530
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$227.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$96

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.49
Potential profit: $399.49
User PnL: -$44.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350.01
Potential profit: $350.01
User PnL: -$165.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.5
Potential profit: $300.5
User PnL: -$171.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$94.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.98
Potential profit: $299.98
User PnL: -$49.28

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $109K on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $207.2
Potential profit: $207.2
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$34.4

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$56.7

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $200
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$43.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $200
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $52.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $335.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $261

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.4

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.74

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.59

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.6

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.14

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.27

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.26

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.99

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.91

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 1.8% 54 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 59% 22.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 57% 78 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 40% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 1.6% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 5% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 6% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Yes 21% 0.23 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 25% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 23% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 25% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 0.8% 294.97 shares