Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $784.46
- Potential payout
- $30.88K
- Potential profit
- $30.1K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- $284.48
Polymarket Trader
Bordan-Jelfort
0x162f03532838f803a3845b70818926c940719309
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $871.46
- Realized PnL
- $4.4K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.89K
- Potential profit
- $7.89K
- User PnL
- -$1.5K
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.87K
- Potential profit
- $7.87K
- User PnL
- -$34.99
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.02K
- Potential profit
- $6.02K
- User PnL
- -$675.66
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$400
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.82K
- Potential profit
- $4.82K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.47K
- Potential profit
- $4.47K
- User PnL
- -$191.99
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.9K
- Potential profit
- $3.9K
- User PnL
- -$813.89
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.5K
- User PnL
- -$1.31K
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.28K
- Potential profit
- $3.28K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.62K
- Potential profit
- $2.62K
- User PnL
- -$220
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $2.6K
- User PnL
- -$550
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.38K
- Potential profit
- $2.38K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $2.11K
- User PnL
- -$240
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.06K
- Potential profit
- $2.06K
- User PnL
- -$55
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- User PnL
- -$412.74
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- User PnL
- -$119
Yes position
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- User PnL
- -$700
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$105
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$350
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $857.14
- Potential profit
- $857.14
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $770.34
- Potential profit
- $770.34
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $87
- Potential payout
- $600.01
- Potential profit
- $513.01
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $588.24
- Potential profit
- $588.24
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $680.74
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $515.51
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $422.84
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $361.67
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $324.63
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.53
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $223.83
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.17
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.86
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $120
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.97
Yes position
Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.78
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.49
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $1.52
No position
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.91
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.06
Yes position
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.25
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$12.5
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$49.46
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$66.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 13% 600 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 52% 200 shares
- Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes 37% 540.54 shares
- Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 0.7% 12,500 shares
- Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 1.7% 5,610.1 shares
- Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 1.6% 25,274.26 shares
- Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 0.8% 12,500 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes 27% 277.78 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 30% 138.4 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.5% 42.18 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 64% 42.19 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 28.9% 138.4 shares