Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $349.95K
- Potential profit
- $349.95K
- User PnL
- -$22.04K
Polymarket Trader
Valen9
0x162f6fff88a52864f2ecc9833e58089d5254798d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $626.17K
- Realized PnL
- $401.69K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $311.42K
- Potential payout
- $311.89K
- Potential profit
- $467.83
- User PnL
- $236.64K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $201.08K
- Potential profit
- $201.08K
- User PnL
- -$8.92K
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $71.89K
- Potential payout
- $136.93K
- Potential profit
- $65.04K
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $34.84K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $23.71K
- Potential payout
- $135.49K
- Potential profit
- $111.78K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$15.09K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.77K
- Potential profit
- $71.77K
- User PnL
- -$9.08K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.19K
- Potential profit
- $61.19K
- User PnL
- -$475.93
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $59.73K
- Potential payout
- $60.31K
- Potential profit
- $572.9
- User PnL
- $201
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.41K
- Potential profit
- $51.41K
- User PnL
- -$4.9K
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.3K
- Potential profit
- $47.3K
- User PnL
- -$23.07K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $1.09K
- Potential payout
- $41.3K
- Potential profit
- $40.21K
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$3.29K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $40K
- User PnL
- -$3.8K
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $6.15K
- Potential payout
- $34.18K
- Potential profit
- $28.03K
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$4.94K
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.25K
- Potential profit
- $32.25K
- User PnL
- -$2.31K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $31.26K
- Potential payout
- $32.01K
- Potential profit
- $752.29
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $31.26K
- Potential payout
- $31.76K
- Potential profit
- $492.22
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $90.66
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $30.46K
- Potential payout
- $30.79K
- Potential profit
- $323.27
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $48.55
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $30K
- User PnL
- -$5.4K
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.95K
- Potential profit
- $27.95K
- User PnL
- -$5.32K
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.4%
- Current value
- $3.5K
- Potential payout
- $26.18K
- Potential profit
- $22.69K
- Multiplier
- 7.49x
- User PnL
- $1.4K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $19.91K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- $70
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $19.93K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- $310
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $15.85K
- Potential payout
- $16.59K
- Potential profit
- $738.08
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $767.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.88K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.84K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.65K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.88K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.38K
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.04K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.99K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.64K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.51K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.64K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.33K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.29K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $9.11K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.11K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $7.94K
Yes position
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.64K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $7.63K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.56K
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.26K
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.23K
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.97K
Yes position
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.95K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.93K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.29K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 63% 14.99 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 64% 22.49 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 64% 39.99 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 65% 31 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 65% 10 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 63% 10 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 59.8% 86.13 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 60.9% 139.86 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 60% 39.6 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 57% 42.8 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 57% 95 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 53% 15 shares