No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$15
Polymarket Trader
alphazero1
0x16311bce1a3264f5e4b0cc132e1b6ee33938e66f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $31.78
- Realized PnL
- $346.86
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.4%
- Current value
- $11.95
- Potential payout
- $31.15
- Potential profit
- $19.21
- Multiplier
- 2.61x
- User PnL
- $1.95
No position
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.45
- Potential profit
- $30.45
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.23
- Potential profit
- $22.23
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $18.75
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $12.25
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $4.42
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $2.25
Yes position
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $7.71
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $6.25
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $0.89
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $0.71
- Potential payout
- $6.44
- Potential profit
- $5.73
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.82
Yes position
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.23
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.64
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 474 Million subscribers by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.02
Yes position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.46
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.42
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.33
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.17
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.36
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.92
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.22
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
Yes position
James Comey arrested by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.42
Yes position
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.32
Up position
Solana Up or Down - March 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.13
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78
Up position
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes 70% 7.14 shares
- Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?No 60% 16.67 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 32.1% 31.15 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes 60.5% 82.64 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 71% 35.71 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 64% 207.9 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?No 48% 20.4 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?No 49% 20.41 shares
- Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?Yes 80% 18.75 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETUp 46% 10.87 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETUp 44% 11.36 shares
- James Comey arrested by May 15?Yes 75.7% 26.42 shares