Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.92
- Multiplier
- 11.83x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Polymarket Trader
Falknerym8t
0x163f97919a30ce3dc901b622f5fcd5d1de526f79
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.08
- Realized PnL
- $60.37
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Presbyterian College position
Presbyterian College vs. UNC Asheville
Ends Mar 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.96
Yes position
Will Tottenham beat Liverpool?
Ends Jan 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 51-52°F on January 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33
Yes position
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $4.12
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.2%
- Multiplier
- 4.32x
- User PnL
- $2.42
No position
Will "The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent" win Best Action Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?
Ends Mar 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $1.93
No position
Will Ethereum hit $2700 by Wednesday?
Ends Feb 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
No position
Will Trump issue an executive order on February 8?
Ends Feb 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 2.5
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will Liverpool finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will “Adolescence: Limited Series” be the top global Netflix show this week?
Ends Mar 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Will Trump say "Capone" during Digital Asset Summit?
Ends Mar 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-02-25?
Ends Feb 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Jock Landale: Points O/U 13.5
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.76
Grizzlies position
Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Jaylen Wells: Rebounds O/U 3.5
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 91.1% 25 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 92.5% 120 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 92.6% 120 shares
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?No 98.5% 67 shares
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?No 98.3% 103 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 86.8% 128 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 86.9% 128 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes 4.1% 166 shares
- Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 11.6% 43 shares
- Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 11.5% 43 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 7.5% 51 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 7.6% 51 shares