Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $868.8
- Potential payout
- $1.57K
- Potential profit
- $696.6
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $204.08
Polymarket Trader
0x163fb9e9b648E7Bf0E9c4F16096fD7E637c104ee-1770172172256
0x163fb9e9b648e7bf0e9c4f16096fd7e637c104ee
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $892.25
- Realized PnL
- $199.14
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Current value
- $23.45
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- $3.16
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $81.97
- Potential profit
- $81.97
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.12
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.75
No position
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.9
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.79
Knicks position
Hawks vs. Knicks
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 61% 81.97 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 44% 454.55 shares
- Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 99.9% 255.44 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 40% 57.5 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 44% 295.45 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes 95% 165 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 46% 34.78 shares
- Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 2% 295.26 shares
- Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 2% 236.44 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 46% 217.39 shares
- Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 1.8% 534.34 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 38% 126.32 shares