Yes position
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.51
- Potential payout
- $202.41
- Potential profit
- $201.91
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.49
Polymarket Trader
0x6B117D25E1A34910D2A7d0d7db9f38f93a685c80-1770085312071
0x165f6d61488c1f26ac68bb84ddba3633f55ed7c0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.03
- Realized PnL
- $198.96
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $40.01
- Potential profit
- $39.05
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.32
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.74
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $2.92
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $12.08
- Multiplier
- 5.14x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $1.39
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.62
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $7
- User PnL
- -$2.27
Athletics position
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.6
Athletics position
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.16
Baltimore Orioles position
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.9
Anyones Legend position
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.17
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.04
Y
Yes position
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Draw at halftime?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.87
Seattle Mariners position
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6
Athletics position
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Knicks position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.91
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.6
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
Team WE position
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.13
Kansas City Royals position
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Chicago Cubs position
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.13
San Francisco Giants position
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Saigon Dino position
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Las Vegas Aces position
Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
New York Mets position
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 24?Yes 91.6% 41.75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 24?Yes 45% 8.75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 24?No 43% 7.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 24?No 43% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 24?Yes 65% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 24?Yes 73% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 24?Yes 18% 18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 24?Yes 39% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 20?Yes 16% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 19?Yes 19.1% 7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 19?Yes 46% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 19?Yes 42% 5 shares