Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$142.75
Polymarket Trader
0x1668e5B9928e1049710D2ca72aE50E12CB5f0068-1771776529490
0x1668e5b9928e1049710d2ca72ae50e12cb5f0068
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $1.01K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $214.29
- Potential profit
- $214.29
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $173.52
- Potential profit
- $173.52
- User PnL
- -$17
No position
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
Ends Aug 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $163.08
- Potential profit
- $163.08
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.63
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.03
- Potential profit
- $13.03
- User PnL
- -$9.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $468.1
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.74
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.49
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.25
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.72
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.25
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.48
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.04
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of February 22-28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.19
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.1
Yes position
Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.75
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.4
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.28
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.17
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.89
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.02
Yes position
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.77
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.55
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52
No position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $2.85
Yes position
Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.57
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes 26.3% 128.36 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 33% 15.11 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes 77.9% 128.37 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 82% 36.7 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes 80% 835.12 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 40.9% 36.71 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes 23.9% 835.13 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 56% 116.12 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 62% 16.13 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 66.1% 15.12 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 60.8% 100 shares
- Will Iran Play in the World Cup?No 6.1% 163.08 shares