Yes position
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $37.5
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $24.96K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$62.5
Polymarket Trader
Eia
0x166a49699aba5d7a9ce3142450062deedf83d7ed
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.66K
- Realized PnL
- $14.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $85.85
- Potential payout
- $10.1K
- Potential profit
- $10.01K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$25.61
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $123.75
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $7.38K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $56.17
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $198.25
- Potential payout
- $6.1K
- Potential profit
- $5.9K
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- $109.79
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $124.95
- Potential payout
- $5.1K
- Potential profit
- $4.98K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $6.54
Yes position
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $108
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.89K
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$163.04
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.62K
- Potential payout
- $2.9K
- Potential profit
- $275.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $41.17
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $1.18K
- Potential payout
- $2.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$68.21
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $51.25
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.45K
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $636
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.76K
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$496.57
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $2.16K
- Potential payout
- $2.26K
- Potential profit
- $108.69
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.54
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.93K
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $275.06
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $819
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $153
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.65K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$273.99
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $1.06K
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $342.97
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $150.82
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $13.75
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $1.28
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $40.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $959.5
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$258.59
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $757.13
- Potential payout
- $865.29
- Potential profit
- $108.16
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $110.31
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $164
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $636
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$92.85
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $5.2
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $794.8
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$13.2
No position
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $691.61
- Potential payout
- $799.55
- Potential profit
- $107.94
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $31.4
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $710.23
- Potential payout
- $755.16
- Potential profit
- $44.93
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $72.2
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $321.34
- Potential payout
- $600.64
- Potential profit
- $279.3
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $9.1
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $434.54
- Potential payout
- $520.4
- Potential profit
- $85.87
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $18.06
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $68.98
- Potential payout
- $505.33
- Potential profit
- $436.35
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- $9.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8K
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77K
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $851
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $790.02
No position
Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $726
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $721.05
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $704.56
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $678.05
Yes position
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $633.12
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $596.12
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $593.83
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $450.15
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $400.56
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $334.2
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.12
Yes position
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $269.5
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $265.78
Yes position
Will Russia capture Zaliznychne by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.05
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.67
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $221.44
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.84
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 26% 200 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 21% 93.94 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 68% 80.8 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 56% 1,039.08 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 54.7% 74.63 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 48% 79 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 36.8% 20.54 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes 70% 200 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 35% 98 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 41% 200 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 36.2% 406.27 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 38.4% 96 shares