Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 512 million subscribers by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $52.96
- Potential payout
- $264.81
- Potential profit
- $211.85
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$47.04
Polymarket Trader
0x1689E07790B161482a496000B8e0dA9409F15b28-1767888744839
0x1689e07790b161482a496000b8e0da9409f15b28
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $226.46
- Realized PnL
- $273.82
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Ilia Topuria position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.46
- Potential profit
- $123.46
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $108.72
- Potential payout
- $116.28
- Potential profit
- $7.56
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $8.72
Yes position
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-07?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$10
Max Holloway position
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $64.78
- Potential payout
- $98.89
- Potential profit
- $34.12
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$5.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.03
Yes position
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.27
Yes position
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-07?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.86
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.53
Yes position
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-01-18?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.31
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.53
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 464 Million subscribers by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.67
Y
Yes position
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92
No position
Bikinis back on X by January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.91
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.62
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will MrBeast hit 512 million subscribers by July 31?Yes 37.8% 264.81 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Yes 95% 210.53 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 51% 12.34 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 81% 12.35 shares
- Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Yes 16.9% 5.92 shares
- Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?No 85.9% 5.82 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria 81% 123.46 shares
- Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?Yes 47% 21.28 shares
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-07?Yes 65% 93.11 shares
- Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-07?Yes 9% 111.11 shares
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-07?Yes 63% 18 shares
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-07?Yes 27% 111.11 shares