Polymarket Trader

ZQ1231

0x1693c3c84ab70ccd6949cbb5d54867a1861b5d20

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15K
Realized PnL: $1.47K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $6.88K
Potential payout: $6.9K
Potential profit: $17.25
User PnL: $286.75

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $740
Potential payout: $850.57
Potential profit: $110.57
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$6.57

No position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $793.28
Potential payout: $795.27
Potential profit: $1.99
User PnL: $38.06

Yes position

Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 87.4%
Current value: $684.16
Potential payout: $782.79
Potential profit: $98.63
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $105.9

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $687.74
Potential payout: $751.63
Potential profit: $63.89
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $58.89

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $438.99
Potential payout: $532.11
Potential profit: $93.12
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $9.25

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 92.8%
Current value: $486.65
Potential payout: $524.69
Potential profit: $38.04
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $17.33

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $402.84
Potential payout: $460.39
Potential profit: $57.55
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $411.25
Potential payout: $435.19
Potential profit: $23.94
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $383.35
Potential payout: $410
Potential profit: $26.65
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $8.55

No position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $369.99
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $30
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $28

No position

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $375.99
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $24
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $348.61
Potential payout: $385.2
Potential profit: $36.59
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $325.22
Potential payout: $326.03
Potential profit: $0.82
User PnL: $19.01

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $256.9
Potential payout: $311.4
Potential profit: $54.49
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $7.56

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $225.79
Potential payout: $287.63
Potential profit: $61.84
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $11.9

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $243.49
Potential payout: $266.11
Potential profit: $22.62
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.33

No position

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $231.25
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $18.75
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $18.75

No position

Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $209.76
Potential payout: $228
Potential profit: $18.24
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $2.28

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $202.4
Potential payout: $216.47
Potential profit: $14.07
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $4.41

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $179
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $21
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $121.91
Potential payout: $170.5
Potential profit: $48.59
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$6.62

Yes position

Will Michael Scanlon be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $153.84
Potential profit: $153.76
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.92

Yes position

Will Anthony Zimpfer be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $153.84
Potential profit: $153.76
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.92

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Jasmine Crockett lose the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315.49

Yes position

Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.29

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.09

Yes position

Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.55

No position

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.47

Yes position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.83

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $53.6

No position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.73

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36

Yes position

Will Gina Hinojosa win the 2026 Texas Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.88

Yes position

Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.51

Yes position

Will Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.49

Yes position

Will Greg Abbott win the 2026 Texas Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.28

Yes position

Will Mike Rounds be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Dakota?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.81

Yes position

Will Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.23

No position

Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $29.85

Yes position

Will Cindy Hyde-Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate from Mississippi?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.01

Yes position

Will Shelley Moore Capito be the Republican nominee for Senate in West Virginia?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

Yes position

Will Jim Risch be the Republican nominee for Senate in Idaho?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.67

Yes position

Will Sherrod Brown be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Ohio?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.86

No position

Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.0% and 4.5%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.07

No position

Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.13

No position

Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be less than 1.0%?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.92

Yes position

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?

Yes 87% 83.3 shares
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?

Yes 90% 36 shares
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Yes 61% 15 shares
Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?

Yes 89.9% 30.2 shares
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?

Yes 90% 10 shares
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes 66% 20.5 shares
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?

No 91% 5 shares
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?

No 90% 144.42 shares
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?

Yes 74% 56 shares
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 76% 100 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 86% 100 shares
Will Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?

No 93.4% 153.84 shares