Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.99
- User PnL
- -$53
Polymarket Trader
fasemusk
0x16a071849cdb6840a0d18b26123108b298172f60
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $2.51K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$38.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$91.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.98
- Potential profit
- $99.98
- User PnL
- -$7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$40.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$42.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$26.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$18.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$32.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$18.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$16.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$44.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.99
- Potential profit
- $59.99
- User PnL
- -$12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.99
- Potential profit
- $59.99
- User PnL
- -$29.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.72
- Potential profit
- $51.72
- User PnL
- -$14.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.37
- Potential profit
- $51.37
- User PnL
- -$28.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$31.2
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$38.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$15
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$34.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247.19
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.48
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.02
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89
Lakers position
Mavericks vs. Lakers
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.62
G2 Esports position
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.4
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETUp 69% 20 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETUp 55% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETUp 58% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETUp 82% 20 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETUp 87% 20 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETUp 35% 20 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETUp 28% 20 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETUp 60% 20 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETUp 70% 29.99 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETUp 64% 30 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETUp 76% 20 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETUp 25% 60 shares