Yes position
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 35.1%
- Current value
- $247.45
- Potential payout
- $706
- Potential profit
- $458.55
- Multiplier
- 2.85x
- User PnL
- -$276.4
Polymarket Trader
DerekWeber2446
0x16a0ed77e2c5d7e6913767f40fa32df4229772f1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $311.2
- Realized PnL
- $6.53K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.4%
- Current value
- $38.46
- Potential payout
- $172.08
- Potential profit
- $133.62
- Multiplier
- 4.47x
- User PnL
- -$121.1
Yes position
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $58.18
- Potential profit
- $58.15
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $6.53
- Potential payout
- $29
- Potential profit
- $22.48
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$3.91
No position
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $16.62
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $2.38
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.31
- Potential profit
- $14.31
- User PnL
- -$9.3
Yes position
Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $5.95
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.29
- Potential payout
- $6.44
- Potential profit
- $6.15
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0.49
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $526.38
No position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $523.27
Yes position
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $504.84
No position
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $364.11
No position
Will Trump post "Ballroom" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.82
Yes position
Will "They Will Kill You" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.4
Yes position
Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $248
Yes position
Will "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $247.25
Yes position
Will "ICE" or "Border Patrol" be said at the Super Bowl?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $230.71
Southern Illinois Salukis position
Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-4.5)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.04
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.45
Yes position
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 70 and 80?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.33
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $192.19
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.94
Yes position
Will Clear Street Group Inc.'s market cap be less than $9.0B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $163.24
Levante UD position
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.32
Yes position
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.31
Under position
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.72
Over position
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.55
Yes position
Will SpaceX have 12 or more launches in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.58
Yes position
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $119.47
No position
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.2
Yes position
Another crypto hack over $100m before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?No 16% 301 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?No 15% 252 shares
- Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 32% 29 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?No 49% 553 shares
- Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?No 58% 922 shares
- Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?No 33.1% 832 shares
- Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No 29% 303 shares
- Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No 29% 916 shares
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?No 76% 53 shares
- Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?No 88% 116 shares
- Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?No 88% 806 shares
- Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No 29% 1,219 shares