Yes position
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Polymarket Trader
weva
0x16b42fb18b836f34e68315e37e99b126463b648a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.11
- Realized PnL
- $61.4
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will George Clooney be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Ends Aug 10, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.02
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will world GDP growth be 3.3% in 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $0.24
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7.76
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.48
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.53
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.43
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.58
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.8
No position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.9
Yes position
Will SpaceX have 12 or more launches in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.5
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
No position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55
Yes position
Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.31
Yes position
Will 1000 to 1049 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Multiplier
- 14.93x
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Over $12M committed to the Space public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.64
N
No position
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 29 - January 4)
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Grok 4.20 released by April 20?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by February 28?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 6?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will Trump say "Breaking News" in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in May?Yes 2.2% 24 shares
- Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes 0.1% 1,539.04 shares
- Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes 0.1% 3,999.92 shares
- Will 1000 to 1049 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Yes 0.2% 117.61 shares
- Will world GDP growth be 3.3% in 2026?Yes 0.3% 8 shares
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No 10% 10 shares
- Grok 4.20 released by April 20?No 1.4% 5 shares
- Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in January?Yes 27% 5 shares
- Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?Yes 0.3% 200 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes 1.6% 65 shares
- US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?Yes 7% 11 shares
- Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in January?Yes 20% 5 shares