No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $47.75
- Potential payout
- $52.76
- Potential profit
- $5.01
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.72
Polymarket Trader
shellypopa
0x16b64a59ffa0069499d570d666a27db94b6d7533
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $98.35
- Realized PnL
- $15.19
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $9.82
- Potential payout
- $10.28
- Potential profit
- $0.46
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $2.72
- Potential payout
- $9.55
- Potential profit
- $6.83
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.55
- Potential profit
- $7.55
- User PnL
- -$3.85
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $6.64
- Potential payout
- $6.82
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $0.73
- Potential payout
- $6.34
- Potential profit
- $5.61
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.23
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $6.17
- Potential payout
- $6.22
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.91
- Potential profit
- $4.91
- User PnL
- -$2.53
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $3.89
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.51
- Potential profit
- $3.51
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.25
- Potential profit
- $3.25
- User PnL
- -$2.18
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $3.02
- Potential payout
- $3.23
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $3.07
- Potential payout
- $3.11
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $2.29
- Potential payout
- $2.71
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.63
- Potential profit
- $2.63
- User PnL
- -$1.08
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $2.45
- Potential payout
- $2.52
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.37
- Potential profit
- $2.37
- User PnL
- -$2.18
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $2.07
- Potential payout
- $2.22
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.2%
- Current value
- $1.71
- Potential payout
- $2.14
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.11
- Potential payout
- $2.11
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.1
- Potential profit
- $2.1
- User PnL
- -$0.63
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.07
- Potential profit
- $2.07
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $2.06
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $2.03
- Potential payout
- $2.04
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Multiplier
- 39.22x
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 29% 3.76 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No 66% 1.65 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No 97.5% 0.58 shares
- US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes 62% 0.03 shares
- US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes 62% 0.21 shares
- US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes 62% 1.96 shares
- US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes 61% 1.79 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No 91% 1.2 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?No 68% 1.57 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?No 69% 1.58 shares
- US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes 62% 1.76 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No 89% 1.07 shares